Le Havre vs Toulouse Prediction & Tips — Ligue 1

Le Havre

Le Havre
13th • 23pts

Kickoff
Mon 16 Feb, 01:00

Toulouse

Toulouse
9th • 30pts

⚡ Odds & analysis updated 16 Feb 2026, 00:03 AEST

Best Odds

Le Havre
3.30

Draw
3.30

Toulouse
2.48

Low Confidence
Match Winner
Le Havre vs Toulouse
Pick: Toulouse
Toulouse are the clear favorites (though missing Niklas Schmidt, Rasmus Nicolaisen)

2.48
59.7% edge

Position Gap
4 places
Le Havre Form
2/5 wins
Toulouse Form
2/5 wins

Worth a Look
Draw
Draw @ 3.30
similar recent form

3.30

Medium Confidence
Over/Under 2.5
Pick: Over 2.5
Leaning overs — combined avg of 2.4 goals/game

2.23

Over 2.5
2.23
Under 2.5
1.65

Le Havre are missing Loic Nego and Thomas Delaine, and that’s a real hit to their wide defence. If Toulouse get runners into the channels, Le Havre can get dragged around.

Where’s the Bet?

Draw @ 3.30 is the best value. Each side’s form is basically a coin flip (Le Havre WLDDW, Toulouse LDWWL) and neither is reliable enough to trust at a shortish price. Toulouse 2.48 is tempting, but it’s tagged low confidence for a reason.

H2H leans Toulouse (5 wins from the last 9), yet Le Havre aren’t getting blown away often. They score only 0.9 a game, so they’re happy to make it ugly and pinch a point.

Goals Angle

Over 2.5 @ 2.23 is just a lean. The combined average is 2.4 goals a game, so you’re paying for a script where Toulouse score first and Le Havre have to open up. If it’s tight early, unders pressure builds fast.

Quick Read

Toulouse also have outs (Nicolaisen, Casseres Jr), so their spine isn’t perfect either. Best play: Draw 3.30. If you want more numbers, the Ligue 1 Data Hub has you covered. This betting preview is a small-stakes draw or pass.

Team News & Injuries

Le Havre

  • Loic Nego (Red card Suspended)
  • Thomas Delaine (Injured Doubtful)
  • Andy Elysee Logbo (Shoulder injury)
  • Y. Zouaoui (Ankle Injury)
  • Y. Kechta (Knock)
Toulouse

  • Niklas Schmidt (Ruptured cruciate ligament)
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen (Injured Doubtful)
  • Cristhian Casseres Jr (Red card Suspended)
  • Abu Francis (injured)
  • Ilyas Azizi (injured)

Form Guide

Le Havre

WLDDW

Toulouse

LDWWL

Head to Head (Last 9)

2
Le Havre

2
Draws

5
Toulouse

View the latest Ligue 1 table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the
Ligue 1 Data Hub →

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