Toulouse vs Paris FC Preview & Prediction

Toulouse

Toulouse
10th • 30pts

Kickoff
Sun 22 Feb, 05:00

Paris FC

Paris FC
15th • 22pts

⚡ Odds & analysis updated 16 Feb 2026, 20:49 AEST

Best Odds

Toulouse
2.06

Draw
3.40

Paris FC
4.30

Low Confidence
Match Winner
Toulouse vs Paris FC
Pick: Toulouse
Toulouse are the clear favorites (though missing Niklas Schmidt, Rasmus Nicolaisen)

2.06
51.5% edge

Position Gap
5 places
Toulouse Form
2/5 wins
Paris FC Form
1/5 wins

Worth a Look
Draw
Draw @ 3.40
similar recent form

3.40

Medium Confidence
Over/Under 2.5
Pick: Over 2.5
Leaning overs — combined avg of 2.8 goals/game

2.25

Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62

Toulouse at home at 2.06 is a fair bet.

They’re 10th for a reason. More stable week to week. Better structure and game management. At home they tend to control territory and limit cheap chances.

Paris FC in 15th usually means thin margins. Away from home they’re more likely to concede first and then chase. That’s a bad script versus a side that can sit in and counter once ahead.

Price check: 2.06 implies ~48.5%. I’d have Toulouse closer to 52–54% at home in this matchup, so small edge.

Best way to play it: Toulouse win. If you want insurance, Toulouse draw no bet is the safer angle, but the 2.06 is the value punch.

Team News & Injuries

Toulouse

  • Niklas Schmidt (Ruptured cruciate ligament)
  • Rasmus Nicolaisen (Injured Doubtful)
  • Cristhian Casseres Jr (Red card Suspended)
  • Abu Francis (injured)
  • Ilyas Azizi (injured)
Paris FC

  • Thibault De Smet (Red card Suspended)
  • Pierre Yves Hamel (Adductor problems)
  • P. Hamel (Hamstring Injury)
  • J. Ikone (Lacking Match Fitness)
  • Otavio (Red Card)

Form Guide

Toulouse

LLDWW

Paris FC

LDDDW

Head to Head (Last 5)

3
Toulouse

1
Draws

1
Paris FC

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