San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders FC Preview & Prediction

Full Time Result
San Jose Earthquakes 0 – 1 Seattle Sounders FC
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San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes
3rd • 9pts
Kickoff
Mon 16 Mar, 10:00
Seattle Sounders FC
Seattle Sounders FC
6th • 6pts

Best Odds

San Jose Earthquakes
2.26
Draw
4.00
Seattle Sounders FC
3.15
Best bet: Over 2.5 @ 1.80
Medium ConfidenceMatch Winner
San Jose Earthquakes vs Seattle Sounders FC — Pick: San Jose Earthquakes
San Jose Earthquakes are the clear favorites — 3/5 recent wins, sitting 3rd in the table (though missing E. Edwards, E. Mendoza)
Position Gap 3 placesSan Jose Earthquakes Form 3/5 winsSeattle Sounders FC Form 2/5 wins
2.26
Worth a LookDraw
Draw @ 4.00
only 3 places apart; 4 draws in last 10 H2H meetings; similar recent form
4.00
High ConfidenceOver/Under 2.5
Pick: Over 2.5
Both sides involved in open games — San Jose Earthquakes avg 2.0 goals/game, Seattle Sounders avg 2.0
Over 2.5 1.80Under 2.5 2.00
1.80
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Best bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.80.

This price is fair even before you get cute with matchups. San Jose games have been open early (2.0 scored per game) and Seattle aren’t shy about trading chances either. The market’s basically asking for 3 goals in a league that coughs them up when tempo stays high. That’s the angle.

The Edge

San Jose are flying: WWW, 9 points, and the big headline is they’ve conceded 0.0 per game so far. That’s elite, but it also drags their win price shorter than it should be if you think regression is coming. Seattle’s attack isn’t scary on paper (1.3 scored), yet they’re good enough to nick one, especially if this turns into a transitions game.

Seattle concede just 0.7 per game, so you don’t need this to be a 4-3 circus. A 2-1 either way gets you paid. And with each side sitting top-six, the game state can flip fast: first goal forces the other mob to open up, and MLS defending rarely holds shape for 90.

Market Read

If you want a side, San Jose 2.26 is the “value” number (medium confidence, 55.8% edge). The H2H leans their way too: 4W-4D-2L across the last 10. But the draw at 4.00 has legs as well (four draws in that same sample, and the ladder spots are close). Net: sides market is messy.

So I’m sticking to the goals. Over 2.5 @ 1.80 is the cleanest of our best bets, and it lines up with how these sides play right now. For more numbers, hit the MLS Data Hub.

Also read: Real Salt Lake vs Austin FC Preview & Prediction and Los Angeles FC vs St. Louis City SC Preview & Prediction.

Team News

San Jose outs: E. Edwards, E. Mendoza, T. Werner. Seattle outs: S. Hawkins, Kim Kee-Hee, R. Sailor. Doubts: G. Minoungou, P. Rothrock. If Seattle’s wide runners miss, it’s a slight downgrade on their scoring threat, but it doesn’t kill the over.

Team News & Injuries

San Jose Earthquakes
  • E. Edwards (Lower-Body Injury)
  • E. Mendoza (Lower-Body Injury)
  • T. Werner (Inactive)
Seattle Sounders FC
  • S. Hawkins (Inactive)
  • Kim Kee-Hee (Calf Injury)
  • R. Sailor (Knee Injury)
  • P. de La Vega (Knee Injury)
  • J. Morris (Injury)

Form Guide

San Jose Earthquakes
WWW
Seattle Sounders FC
WLW

Head to Head (Last 10)

4
San Jose Earthquakes
4
Draws
2
Seattle Sounders FC

View the latest MLS table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the MLS Data Hub →

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