RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg Prediction & Tips — Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig
6th • 39pts

Kickoff
Mon 16 Feb, 03:30

VfL Wolfsburg

VfL Wolfsburg
15th • 19pts

⚡ Odds & analysis updated 15 Feb 2026, 23:56 AEST

Best Odds

RB Leipzig
1.56

Draw
5.00

VfL Wolfsburg
6.10

Medium Confidence
Match Winner
RB Leipzig vs VfL Wolfsburg
Pick: RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig are the clear favorites — 9 places higher than VfL Wolfsburg (though missing Lukas Klostermann, Benjamin Henrichs)

1.56
35.9% edge

Position Gap
9 places
RB Leipzig Form
2/5 wins
VfL Wolfsburg Form
1/5 wins

Not Favoured
Draw
Draw @ 5.00
similar recent form

5.00

Ugly spot for Wolfsburg. They’re leaking goals, missing attackers, and heading to Leipzig where this usually ends one way.

The Value

RB Leipzig win @ 1.56 is the only bet I’d entertain. You’ve got medium confidence and a chunky 35.9% edge, which is rare for a straight favourite. Draw at 5.00? Pass. The H2H has zero draws across the last 10, so you’re paying for an outcome that hasn’t shown up.

Why Leipzig Gets It Done

Leipzig are 6th with 39 points, scoring 1.9 GPG and conceding 1.3. Not flawless, but they can play in the front half and create enough looks. Wolfsburg are 15th on 19 points, conceding 2.1 GPG. That’s the killer stat. You can’t keep giving up that many chances and expect to survive away to a top-six side.

Injuries tilt it further. Leipzig are without Klostermann, Henrichs and Haidara, but Wolfsburg miss Wind, Amoura and Lindstrøm — that’s a big chunk of their goal threat. If they fall behind, where’s the response coming from?

If you want to sanity-check form and numbers, the Bundesliga Data Hub covers it. My Bundesliga predictions are simple here: take Leipzig, or don’t bet.

Team News & Injuries

RB Leipzig

  • Lukas Klostermann (Injured Doubtful)
  • Benjamin Henrichs (injured)
  • Amadou Haidara (Injured Doubtful)
  • Tidiam Gomis (Inner ligament injury)
  • Andrija Maksimovic (Injured Doubtful)
VfL Wolfsburg

  • Jonas Older Wind (Muscular problems)
  • Mohamed Amoura (Hamstring Injury)
  • J. Lindstrøm (Groin operation)
  • K. Paredes (Foot injury)
  • Rogério (Muscle bruise)

Form Guide

RB Leipzig

WLDWL

VfL Wolfsburg

LLLDW

Head to Head (Last 10)

7
RB Leipzig

0
Draws

3
VfL Wolfsburg

View the latest Bundesliga table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the
Bundesliga Data Hub →

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