Best Odds
Pisa have conceded 1.7 goals a game while scoring just 0.8 — that’s the whole story.
Best Value: Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.08. Not a max play. Just the cleanest angle on the board.
The Value
Pisa sit 19th with 15 points and a brutal LLDLL run. They’re leaking at the back and not doing enough at the other end to control games. That combo is sneaky-good for overs, because once they go behind they’ve got to open up, and that usually means chances at both ends.
Bologna’s season profile is steadier: 8th, 36 points, scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.2. They’re not a pure overs side, but they’re competent enough to punish a defence giving up 1.7 per game. Add the combined average sitting at 2.5 goals per game and the 2.08 looks fair-to-slight value.
Don’t overthink it. If Bologna get on top early, Pisa chasing can turn this into a 2-1 or 3-0 type quickly.
Market Read
Bologna at 2.10 is flagged as low confidence. That tracks. Away favourites at this price need a strong edge, and Bologna’s recent WWLLL isn’t exactly screaming “trust me”. H2H says Bologna have won the last two, but it’s a thin sample.
So rather than sweat the 1X2, the totals market gives you more paths: Bologna can do the heavy lifting, or Pisa can nick one in transition.
Quick Take
Injuries matter a bit: Pisa are missing Meister, Lusuardi and Coppola. Bologna are without Immobile and Miranda (plus C. Immobile listed). I’m not baking in player-level impact without more info, but it doesn’t push me off the goals lean.
For more numbers, hit the Serie A Data Hub. This is a “small stake, take the price” spot for Serie A betting. Also read AS Roma vs Juventus Preview & Prediction and Torino vs Lazio Preview & Prediction.
Team News & Injuries
- Henrik Meister (Unknown Injury)
- Mateus Lusuardi (injured)
- F. Coppola (Ankle surgery)
- İ. Vural (Inflammation)
- D. Denoon (Injury)
- Ciro Immobile (Injured Doubtful)
- Juan Miranda (Red card Suspended)
- C. Immobile (Thigh problems)
- T. Pobega (Thigh problems)
- E. Holm (Thigh problems)
Form Guide
Head to Head (Last 2)
View the latest Serie A table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the Serie A Data Hub →
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