Pisa vs AC Milan Prediction & Tips — Serie A

Pisa

Pisa
19th • 15pts

Kickoff
Sat 14 Feb, 06:45

AC Milan

AC Milan
2nd • 50pts

⚡ Odds & analysis updated 14 Feb 2026, 07:52 AEST

Best Odds

Pisa
32.00

Draw
6.40

AC Milan
1.21

Medium Confidence
Match Winner
Pisa vs AC Milan
Pick: AC Milan
AC Milan are the clear favorites — 3/5 recent wins, sitting 2nd in the table, 17 places higher than Pisa (though missing L. Torriani, A. Jashari)

1.21
17.4% edge

Position Gap
17 places
Pisa Form
0/5 wins
AC Milan Form
3/5 wins

Not Favoured
Draw
Draw @ 6.40
Pisa draw 50%, AC Milan draw 35%

6.40

Medium Confidence
Over/Under 2.5
Pick: Over 2.5
Leaning overs — combined avg of 2.4 goals/game

2.43

Over 2.5
2.43
Under 2.5
1.44

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Best bet: AC Milan to win @ 1.21

The Edge

Price is short, but the gap is real. Milan are 2nd with 50 points, Pisa are 19th on 15. Pisa are averaging 0.8 goals for and conceding 1.7. That’s relegation stuff. Milan are 1.7 scored and just 0.7 conceded. They don’t hand out freebies.

How It Plays

Pisa’s form (DLLDD) says they’re not finishing chances and they’re coughing up goals. Milan’s WDWWD run says they keep control and grind sides down. Even with Leão out, Milan’s defensive base should hold up. If they score first, this can get slow and ugly, which suits a straight win ticket.

Market Read

Over 2.5 at 2.43 is tempting, but Pisa’s attack makes it a sweat. Milan can win 0-2 without ever chasing a third. Draw at 6.40? Not for me with Pisa leaking 1.7 a game. Keep it simple: Milan win is the best bets angle, or pass if you hate eating 1.21. More numbers at the Serie A Data Hub.

Team News & Injuries

Pisa

  • Henrik Meister (Unknown Injury)
  • Mateus Lusuardi (injured)
  • F. Coppola (Ankle surgery)
  • İ. Vural (Inflammation)
  • D. Denoon (Injury)
AC Milan

  • L. Torriani (Finger Injury)
  • A. Jashari (Calf Injury)
  • Rafael Leão (Calf Injury)
  • R. Leao (Calf Injury)
  • M. Maignan (Calf Injury)

Form Guide

Pisa

DLLDD

AC Milan

WDWWD

Head to Head (Last 1)

0
Pisa

1
Draws

0
AC Milan

View the latest Serie A table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the
Serie A Data Hub →

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