Levante vs Valencia Preview & Prediction

Levante

Levante
19th • 18pts

Kickoff
Mon 16 Feb, 04:30

Valencia

Valencia
17th • 23pts

⚡ Odds & analysis updated 15 Feb 2026, 23:53 AEST

Best Odds

Levante
2.74

Draw
3.25

Valencia
3.00

Low Confidence
Match Winner
Levante vs Valencia
Pick: Levante
Levante are the clear favorites (though missing Alfonso Pastor Vacas, Carlos Alvarez)

2.74
63.5% edge

Position Gap
2 places
Levante Form
1/5 wins
Valencia Form
2/5 wins

Worth a Look
Draw
Draw @ 3.25
only 2 places apart; 5 draws in last 10 H2H meetings; similar recent form

3.25

Medium Confidence
Over/Under 2.5
Pick: Over 2.5
Leaning overs — combined avg of 2.8 goals/game

2.10

Over 2.5
2.10
Under 2.5
1.74

Best bet: Draw @ 3.25

Market Read

This price is the only one that makes sense. Each side is basically glued together on the table (19th v 17th), and the form lines are nearly a mirror. Levante: LDWLD. Valencia: LLWWD. Neither is rolling, neither is totally cooked. That’s draw territory.

The head-to-head backs it too: 5 draws in the last 10. When these two get in a scrap, it often ends with neither doing enough to win. And with relegation pressure, you can get that “don’t lose it” vibe once it hits 1-1 or 0-0 late.

Numbers That Matter

Goals are around, but not reliably for a clean winner. Levante score 1.2 and concede 1.7 per game. Valencia score 1.0 and concede 1.6. So yeah, chances at both ends, but also plenty of mistakes cancelling out good work.

Over 2.5 at 2.10 is a fair lean (combined average 2.8 goals/game), but I don’t love paying overs juice when both attacks are still pretty blunt. If you’re playing goals, keep stakes sensible. The better angle is that these sides can trade and still land level.

Where’s the Bet?

Levante at 2.74 is tempting for the narrative (home, desperate), but it’s tagged low confidence for a reason. They’re conceding too easily to trust as an outright.

I’m sticking with the draw. It’s supported by the ladder, the recent patterns, and the H2H history. For more context and pricing, jump into the La Liga Data Hub. Solid spot for punters chasing La Liga tips without overthinking it.

Play: Draw @ 3.25.

Team News & Injuries

Levante

  • Alfonso Pastor Vacas (injured)
  • Carlos Alvarez (Injured Doubtful)
  • Jon Ander Olasagasti (injured)
  • Kervin Arriaga (injured)
  • Alan Matturro (Injured Doubtful)
Valencia

  • Alberto Mari (injured)
  • André Almeida (Sprained ankle)
  • F. Ugrinic (Contusion)
  • Thierry Correia (Jumpers knee)
  • M. Diakhaby (Hamstring Injury)

Form Guide

Levante

LDWLD

Valencia

LLWWD

Head to Head (Last 10)

1
Levante

5
Draws

4
Valencia

View the latest La Liga table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the
La Liga Data Hub →

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