Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors: Houston Rockets Too Strong Here? — Mar 06, 2026

Full Time Result
Houston Rockets 113 – 115 Golden State Warriors
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Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
3rd (Western) • 38-22
Tip-Off
Fri 06 Mar, 11:40
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
8th (Western) • 31-30

Best Odds

Houston Rockets ML
1.29
Spread
-9.5
Golden State Warriors ML
4.10
Best bet: Houston Rockets win @ 1.29 — Implied margin 22.5%
Best BetHigh ConfidenceMoneyline
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors — Pick: Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets are the clear favorites — 4/5 recent wins, .633 win rate, +5.6 point differential, 3rd in the Western
Record Gap 5 placesHouston Rockets Form 4/5 winsGolden State Warriors Form 2/5 wins
1.29
Medium ConfidenceSpread
Pick: Golden State Warriors +9.5
line of -9.5 too wide — differential says ~4
Houston Rockets -9.5 1.95Golden State Warriors +9.5 1.88
1.88
High ConfidenceTotal Points O/U 216.5
Pick: Over 216.5
Projected ~229 pts — Houston Rockets avg 115.7 PPG, Golden State Warriors avg 115.3 PPG (combined pace 102.1 — up-tempo)
Over 216.5 1.92Under 215.5 1.95
1.92
Featured PropPlayer Assists
Pick: Alperen Sengun Over 5.5 Assists
Over 5.5 2.02Under 5.5 1.76Season Avg 6.4
2.02
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Rockets are the right side at 1.29, but it’s a price you use in multis, not a standalone. Houston (38-22) are the more reliable team night-to-night. Better defence, more legs, and they’ve banked wins against weaker opposition all year. They also tend to control tempo at home, which suits them. Warriors (31-30) are still volatile. When the threes fall they can beat anyone, but their floor is low. Turnovers, patchy defence, and reliance on hot shooting makes them a tough away trust. Matchup angle: Houston’s athleticism and rim pressure can punish Golden State if the Warriors go cold or get sloppy. If the Rockets win the glass and keep Curry contained, they win. Best use: Rockets ML in a multi. If you want more juice, look at Rockets -4.5 to -6.5 depending on line.

Form Guide

Houston Rockets
WWWLW
Golden State Warriors
WLWLL

Season Stats

115.7
Houston Rockets PPG
216.5
O/U Line
115.3
Golden State Warriors PPG
100.8
Houston Rockets Pace
100
Avg
103.3
Golden State Warriors Pace

This Season (1 game)

Nov 27Warriors 100104 Rockets

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