Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction & Tips — Premier League

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace
13th • 32pts

Kickoff
Thu 12 Feb, 06:30

Burnley

Burnley
19th • 15pts

Best Odds

Crystal Palace
1.59

Draw
4.30

Burnley
7.00

Low Confidence
Match Winner
Crystal Palace vs Burnley
Pick: Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace are the clear favorites — 6 places higher than Burnley (though missing Daichi Kamada, Chadi Riad)

1.59
37.1% edge

Position Gap
6 places
Crystal Palace Form
1/5 wins
Burnley Form
0/5 wins

Worth a Look
Draw
Draw @ 4.30
similar recent form

4.30

Medium Confidence
Over/Under 2.5
Pick: Under 2.5
Leaning unders — combined avg of 2.6 goals/game

1.92

Over 2.5
1.91
Under 2.5
1.92

Best bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.92

The Edge

Unders looks the cleanest angle. Palace are scoring 1.0 a game and conceding 1.2. Burnley are also at 1.0 scored, and their last five reads LLDDD — lots of games where they’ve just tried to survive. Even with Burnley conceding 2.0 per game, Palace aren’t exactly built to turn that into a goal-fest.

The combined average is 2.6 goals a game, so getting 1.92 about Under 2.5 is close to even-money for a match that profiles as tight and ugly.

Market Read

Palace @ 1.59 is short. Their form (WDLLD) isn’t dominant, and the confidence note says it all. If they go 1-0 up, they’re more likely to manage than pile on.

Draw @ 4.30 has a sniff because recent form is similar, but I’d rather anchor the bet around goals than pick a result.

Team News

Palace missing Kamada, Riad and Franca doesn’t help creativity. Burnley are without Flemming, Tuanzebe and Broja, with Bruun Larsen and Foster doubts — not great for attacking punch. For more Premier League betting context, hit the Premier League Data Hub.

Team News & Injuries

Crystal Palace

  • Daichi Kamada (Knee Problems)
  • Chadi Riad (Ruptured cruciate ligament)
  • Matheus Franca de Oliveira (Adductor muscle tear)
  • O. Édouard (Calf Injury)
  • C. Doucouré (Jumpers knee)
Burnley

  • Zian Flemming (Injured Doubtful)
  • Axel Tuanzebe (Injured Doubtful)
  • A. Broja (Fitness)
  • J. Beyer (Hamstring Injury)
  • B. Humphreys (Thigh problems)

Form Guide

Crystal Palace

WDLLD

Burnley

LLDDD

Head to Head (Last 10)

5
Crystal Palace

2
Draws

3
Burnley

View the latest Premier League table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the
Premier League Data Hub →

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