AS Monaco vs Nantes Prediction & Tips — Ligue 1

AS Monaco

AS Monaco
10th • 28pts

Kickoff
Sat 14 Feb, 07:05

Nantes

Nantes
17th • 14pts

⚡ Odds & analysis updated 14 Feb 2026, 07:54 AEST

Best Odds

AS Monaco
1.05

Draw
25.00

Nantes
76.00

Low Confidence
Match Winner
AS Monaco vs Nantes
Pick: AS Monaco
AS Monaco are the clear favorites — 7 places higher than Nantes (though missing Soungoutou Magassa, Breel Donald Embolo)

1.05
4.8% edge

Position Gap
7 places
AS Monaco Form
1/5 wins
Nantes Form
1/5 wins

Worth a Look
Draw
Draw @ 25.00
5 draws in last 10 H2H meetings; similar recent form

25.00

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This has “Monaco win” written on it, which is exactly why it’s a bad watch and a worse bet at $.result prices.

Market Read

Monaco at 1.05 is a pure lay-your-bankroll trap. They’re 10th, they’ve gone DWDLL, and they concede 1.6 a game. That’s not the sort of profile you want backing at a price that assumes a training run.

The draw at 25.00 is the only number with teeth. Last 10 H2H: Monaco 5 wins, 5 draws, Nantes 0. That’s a loud signal Monaco don’t always finish the job against this opponent, even when they’re clearly the better side on paper.

Why the Draw Has a Puncher’s Chance

Monaco score 1.5 per game but leak chances. Nantes are blunt (0.9 scored) yet they can still drag games into the mud, especially when the favourite isn’t humming. Injuries don’t scream “Monaco cruise” either with Embolo plus Magassa and Salisu out.

My best bets: small nibble Draw @ 25.00 or just pass. If you want to dig deeper, the Ligue 1 Data Hub has the numbers.

Team News & Injuries

AS Monaco

  • Soungoutou Magassa (Red card Suspended)
  • Breel Donald Embolo (Injured Doubtful)
  • Mohammed Salisu Abdul Karim (Injured Doubtful)
  • Folarin Balogun (Injured Doubtful)
  • Vanderson (Injury)
Nantes

  • Mayckel Lahdo (Injured Doubtful)
  • Fabien Centonze (Injured Doubtful)
  • M. Acapandie (Injury)
  • F. Centonze (Injury)
  • B. Guirassy (Hamstring Injury)

Form Guide

AS Monaco

DWDLL

Nantes

LLLLW

Head to Head (Last 10)

5
AS Monaco

5
Draws

0
Nantes

View the latest Ligue 1 table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the
Ligue 1 Data Hub →

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