Sassuolo vs Bologna Preview & Prediction

Full Time Result
Sassuolo 0 – 1 Bologna
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Sassuolo
Sassuolo
9th • 38pts
Kickoff
Mon 16 Mar, 01:00
Bologna
Bologna
8th • 39pts

Best Odds

Sassuolo
2.72
Draw
3.35
Bologna
2.86
Best value: Over 2.5 @ 2.04
Low ConfidenceMatch Winner
Sassuolo vs Bologna — Pick: Sassuolo
Sassuolo are the clear favorites — 3/5 recent wins (though missing Laurs Skjellerup, K. Thorstvedt)
Position Gap 1 placesSassuolo Form 3/5 winsBologna Form 3/5 wins
2.72
Worth a LookDraw
Draw @ 3.35
only 1 places apart; 4 draws in last 10 H2H meetings; similar recent form
3.35
Medium ConfidenceOver/Under 2.5
Pick: Over 2.5
Leaning overs — combined avg of 2.6 goals/game
Over 2.5 2.04Under 2.5 1.75
2.04
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Big one: Bologna are missing Ciro Immobile, and Sassuolo are without Thorstvedt. That’s two chunks of finishing/second-line punch off the table, which usually screams “tight game”. But the prices are still dangling value on goals.

Best value: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.04. Not a max bet. Just the best angle in a market with no standout sides play.

The Value

Over 2.5 at $2.04 is basically asking for a 50/50 game. The underlying profile says it’s live. These two combine for about 2.6 goals per game across the season, and neither defence is a brick wall: Sassuolo concede 1.4 per, Bologna 1.2. That’s not “unders and sleep easy” territory.

It also doesn’t take much for this to get loose. One early goal and you’ve got each side forced to chase, and that’s when the transitions open up at both ends. Even with a couple of outs, the baseline is still “goal friendly” compared to the price.

Numbers That Matter

The ladder gap is nothing (9th v 8th, 38 v 39 points) and the form reads the same: LWWWL each way. So you’re not getting a clear mismatch to hang a 1X2 bet on. H2H is dead even too (3-4-3 across the last 10) with four draws, which lines up with the draw indicators at $3.35.

That’s why I’m not forcing a winner. If you want a side lean, it’s thin. Better to keep it simple and play the totals.

Quick Take

Over 2.5 is the best of the Serie A tips here, but keep stakes sensible. If the over gets steamed into odds-on, I’m passing. For more context, hit the Serie A Data Hub. Also worth a look: Udinese vs Juventus Preview & Prediction.

Team News & Injuries

Sassuolo
  • Laurs Skjellerup (Unknown Injury)
  • K. Thorstvedt (Heel pain)
  • Y. Paz (Calf Injury)
  • S. Walukiewicz (Hip Injury)
  • E. Pieragnolo (Injury)
Bologna
  • Ciro Immobile (Injured Doubtful)
  • Juan Miranda (Red card Suspended)
  • C. Immobile (Thigh problems)
  • T. Pobega (Thigh problems)
  • E. Holm (Thigh problems)

Form Guide

Sassuolo
LWWWL
Bologna
LWWWL

Head to Head (Last 10)

3
Sassuolo
4
Draws
3
Bologna

View the latest Serie A table, team stats, results, and betting trends in the Serie A Data Hub →

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